Investing

Will this property cash flow?

This page shows how to determine whether a rental property will produce positive cash flow, using the expenses that actually occur rather than the ones that are easy to remember.

Cash flow is rent minus operating expenses minus debt service. The failure mode is almost always the same: operating expenses are understated because vacancy, maintenance and capital reserves are left out.

What this is
A method for testing whether a specific rental produces monthly cash flow.
Who it is for
Investors evaluating a rental property before making an offer.
The problem
Rent minus mortgage looks positive on almost every property. Rent minus all operating costs frequently does not.
What happens next
Run the numbers with real vacancy and reserve assumptions, then verify taxes, insurance and market rent for the address.

Start with realistic income

Use market rent from comparable units currently leasing nearby, not the rent the seller quotes or the rent a listing advertises. Then subtract vacancy — commonly five to eight percent depending on the market and unit type.

Existing leases matter. A property rented below market is an opportunity only if you can verify the leases actually end when you are told they do.

Then count every operating expense

Property taxes as reassessed after the sale, insurance for a rental rather than owner-occupied policy, water and sewer, trash, lawn and snow, any owner-paid utilities, association dues, and licensing where required.

Then the two that get skipped: maintenance, commonly five to ten percent of rent, and capital reserves for roof, heating and appliances, another five to ten percent. These are not optional. They are deferred, and deferral has an expiry date.

Count management even if you self-manage

Professional management runs roughly eight to twelve percent of collected rent, plus a leasing fee per turnover. If you self-manage, include the cost anyway.

A property that only cash flows because you are working for free is not producing a return on capital. It is producing a wage, and one you cannot stop earning without breaking the model.

Then subtract debt service

What remains after operating expenses is net operating income. Subtract principal and interest and you have cash flow.

A useful discipline: if cash flow is thin, test the deal at one percentage point higher on the rate and at a two-month vacancy. A property that survives both is genuinely resilient.

Do the math

Rental Property Calculator

Rent, operating expenses, debt service, and the monthly reality.

Open the rental property calculator

Common questions

What is good cash flow on a rental property?

Many investors target $100 to $300 per unit per month after all expenses and reserves. The figure matters less than whether it survives a rate increase, a vacancy and one major repair.

What is the 1% rule?

A screening shortcut where monthly rent is at least one percent of purchase price. It is a filter for which properties deserve analysis, not a substitute for analysis, and it fails badly in high-tax or high-insurance markets.

What percentage of rent goes to expenses?

The 50% rule assumes half of rent goes to operating expenses excluding the mortgage. Real figures range from about 35 percent on a newer single-family to well over 55 percent on older multifamily.

Should I include capital expenditures in cash flow?

Yes. Roofs, furnaces and water heaters fail on a schedule. Reserving five to ten percent of rent monthly turns a future emergency into a line item.

Does appreciation make negative cash flow acceptable?

Only if you can fund the shortfall indefinitely from other income. Negative cash flow is a monthly obligation; appreciation is a hope with a variable timeline.

How do I verify market rent?

Look at units currently listed and recently leased nearby with the same bedroom count and condition. Ask for the actual lease documents on a tenanted property rather than accepting a rent roll.

Want this answered for one property?

Property Intelligence™ applies this to a specific address using public records, uploaded documents, comparable sales and professional review — and states plainly what is known, what is missing and what to do next.

Related reading

Part of these decisions

Last reviewed August 3, 2026. Educational information, not financial or legal advice.